Intro To Probability

Table of Contents

1. Sample Space

Usually given by a S - list the outcomes

EXAMPLES:

  1. One Coin Experiment: flipping a coin Sample Space: {H, T}
  2. Two Fuses Experiment: pulling out defective or undefective fuse Sample Space: {NN, ND, DN, DD}
  3. Selects two fuses and records how many are defective S = {0, 1, 2}
  4. Records the Number of Fuses inspected until the second defective is found S = {2, 3, 4, …}

    Two is the soonest it can be found cant be before 2.

2. Events and Probabilty in a Random Experiment(equal likely outcome)

Event - can be just one outcome or a collection of outcomes in a sample space.

EXAMPLES:

  1. Flip A Coin S : {H, T} Let Event A = Getting Tails (P)robability(A) = 1/2

    Note - You can divide by total number of outcomes only if they are equally likely.

  2. Roll a die S : {1,2,3,4,5,6} Let Event A = Getting a 5 P(A) = 1/6
  3. Select Random Card S : {deck of 52 cards} Let A to be getting a king P(A) = 4/52 = 1/13

3. Complements of Events

The Compliment of an event A is deonted as AC

AC contains outcomes NOT in A

EXAMPLE: Let Event A = [3, 6] So, Ac = {1,2,4,5} P(A) = 2/6 P(Ac) = 4/6 P(A) + P(Ac) = 1

4. Compund Events

General Addition Rule P(AUB) = P(A) + P(B) - P(AnB)

4.1. Union

U “union” = or. E.G AUB = “A union B” or “A or B”

AUB is an event!

4.2. Intersection

n “intersection” = and e.g AnB = “A intersect B” or “A and B”

AnB is an event!

Date: 2024-09-30 Mon 00:00

Author: Anthony Rossi

Created: 2024-10-02 Wed 14:13